Trindade vs Tupy FC: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Abrão Manoel da Costa, Trindade, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Trindade the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Tupy FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trindade vs Tupy FC?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Trindade (1,594) and Tupy FC (1,662).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trindade have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Tupy FC have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Goianésia(away) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crixás EC(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Goiânia(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(away) | 0-3 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(home) | 0-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crixás EC(away) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mineiros(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Goiânia(home) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Goianésia(away) | 0-1 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Trindade win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tupy FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tupy FC 2-1 Trindade | Goiano - 2 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Trindade 1-1 Tupy FC | Goiano - 2 |
| May 21, 2025 | Tupy FC 1-2 Trindade | Goiano - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Trindade score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tupy FC score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trindade | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Tupy FC | 0.7 | 0.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trindade sit 10th in Goiano - 2 (3 points from 7 matches) and Tupy FC sit 5th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tupy FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Trindade | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trindade vs Tupy FC?
- The Footlab model makes Trindade the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Tupy FC.
- Where and when is Trindade vs Tupy FC played?
- Trindade vs Tupy FC is played on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Abrão Manoel da Costa, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.