Cristo Atlético vs Almazán: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Almazán. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cristo Atlético vs Almazán?
Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,866 vs 1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Almazán have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 10, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cristo Atlético win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Almazán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Cristo Atlético 4-2 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Almazán 1-1 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Almazán 3-3 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Cristo Atlético 3-2 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Cristo Atlético 0-1 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Almazán 0-2 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Cristo Atlético vs Almazán on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Almazán score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristo Atlético | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Almazán | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cristo Atlético sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (68 points from 34 matches) and Almazán sit 7th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cristo Atlético | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 68 |
| 7 | Almazán | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs Almazán?
- The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Almazán.
- Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Almazán played?
- Cristo Atlético vs Almazán is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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