La Virgen del Camino vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Los Dominicos, La Virgen Del Camino
The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for La Virgen del Camino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Virgen del Camino vs Palencia CF?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate La Virgen del Camino (1,712) and Palencia CF (1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Virgen del Camino have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mojados(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Becerril Campos(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 31, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 23, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 La Virgen del Camino win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Palencia CF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Palencia CF 3-2 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | La Virgen del Camino 2-0 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Palencia CF 2-3 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | La Virgen del Camino 0-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Palencia CF 0-0 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | La Virgen del Camino 1-2 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Palencia CF vs La Virgen del Camino on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
La Virgen del Camino score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Virgen del Camino | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Palencia CF | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Virgen del Camino sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (44 points from 34 matches) and Palencia CF sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59 | 39 | 64 |
| 9 | La Virgen del Camino | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 37 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Virgen del Camino vs Palencia CF?
- The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for La Virgen del Camino.
- Where and when is La Virgen del Camino vs Palencia CF played?
- La Virgen del Camino vs Palencia CF is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Los Dominicos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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