Match

Turriff United vs Keith: prediction and stats

Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 30Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Haughs, Turriff

Turriff UnitedKeith

The Footlab model makes Turriff United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Keith. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Turriff United vs Keith?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Turriff United (1,513) and Keith (1,476).

Turriff United win45 %
Draw25 %
Keith win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Turriff United have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Keith have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Turriff United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Strathspey Thistle(home)1-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 19, 2026Banks O' Dee(away)0-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Buckie Thistle(home)1-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 8, 2026Wick Academy(away)2-0Football League - Highland League
Aug 5, 2026Formartine United(home)1-0Football League - Highland League
Keith
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Formartine United(away)1-4Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Clachnacuddin(away)1-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 8, 2026Lossiemouth(home)2-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 5, 2026Fraserburgh(away)0-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 1, 2026Nairn County(home)1-1Football League - Highland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Turriff United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Keith win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Turriff United 1-2 KeithFootball League - Highland League
Oct 18, 2025Keith 0-0 Turriff UnitedFootball League - Highland League
Dec 28, 2024Turriff United 1-0 KeithFootball League - Highland League
Aug 17, 2024Keith 0-1 Turriff UnitedFootball League - Highland League
Feb 14, 2024Keith 1-0 Turriff UnitedFootball League - Highland League
Aug 12, 2023Turriff United 1-2 KeithFootball League - Highland League

Last archived meeting: Turriff United vs Keith on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Turriff United score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Turriff United1.41.148/158/15
Keith1.71.358/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Turriff United sit 10th in Football League - Highland League (48 points from 34 matches) and Keith sit 6th (58 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Keith3417710524758
10Turriff United3413912605048

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Turriff United vs Keith?
The Footlab model makes Turriff United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Keith.
Where and when is Turriff United vs Keith played?
Turriff United vs Keith is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Haughs, in the Football League - Highland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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