Where and when is TuS Hordel vs Vreden played?

TuS Hordel vs Vreden is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Westfalen.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

TuS Hordel vs Vreden: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

TuS Hordel

Vreden

The Footlab model makes TuS Hordel the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Vreden. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win TuS Hordel vs Vreden?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate TuS Hordel (1,747) and Vreden (1,658).

TuS Hordel win59 %

Draw21 %

Vreden win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, TuS Hordel have 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Vreden have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

TuS Hordel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Preußen Münster II(home)	4-2	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026	Westfalia Kinderhaus(away)	0-1	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026	Erkenschwick(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Westfalen

Vreden
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Maaslingen(away)	2-5	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026	ASC Dortmund(home)	5-2	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026	Hiltrup(home)	2-0	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026	Erkenschwick(home)	3-0	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026	ASC Dortmund(away)	0-1	Oberliga - Westfalen

How many goals should we expect?

TuS Hordel score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 3; Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
TuS Hordel	1.7	1.3	0	2/3	1/3
Vreden	1.6	2.1	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

TuS Hordel sit 15th in Oberliga - Westfalen (1 points from 2 matches) and Vreden sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Vreden	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
15	TuS Hordel	2	0	1	1	1	2	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for TuS Hordel vs Vreden?: The Footlab model makes TuS Hordel the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Vreden.
Where and when is TuS Hordel vs Vreden played?: TuS Hordel vs Vreden is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.