Erkenschwick vs Verl II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stimberg-Stadion, Oer-Erkenschwick
The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Verl II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erkenschwick vs Verl II?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Erkenschwick (1,651) and Verl II (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erkenschwick have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Verl II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Rheine(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sprockhovel(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 17, 2026 | Rot Weiss Ahlen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Erkenschwick win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Verl II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Verl II 0-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Erkenschwick 2-2 Verl II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Verl II 1-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Erkenschwick 5-0 Verl II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Verl II vs Erkenschwick on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Verl II score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Verl II | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erkenschwick sit 3rd in Oberliga - Westfalen (7 points from 3 matches) and Verl II sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Verl II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erkenschwick vs Verl II?
- The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Verl II.
- Where and when is Erkenschwick vs Verl II played?
- Erkenschwick vs Verl II is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stimberg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 4, 2026MaaslingenvsEintracht Rheine
- Oct 4, 2026Westfalia KinderhausvsArminia II
- Oct 4, 2026Lippstadt 08vsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- Oct 4, 2026GievenbeckvsHiltrup
- Oct 4, 2026Preußen Münster IIvsVictoria Clarholz
- Oct 4, 2026SchermbeckvsSprockhovel
- Oct 4, 2026EnnepetalvsASC Dortmund
- Oct 4, 2026TuS HordelvsVreden