Gievenbeck vs Hiltrup: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Senger Arena, Münster
The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Hiltrup. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gievenbeck vs Hiltrup?
Gievenbeck starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,724 vs 1,610).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gievenbeck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hiltrup have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maaslingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sprockhovel(away) | 0-7 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Sprockhovel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Gievenbeck win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hiltrup win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Gievenbeck 1-0 Hiltrup | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Hiltrup 1-2 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Gievenbeck vs Hiltrup on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gievenbeck score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hiltrup score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gievenbeck | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Hiltrup | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gievenbeck sit 9th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and Hiltrup sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Gievenbeck | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 18 | Hiltrup | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gievenbeck vs Hiltrup?
- The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Hiltrup.
- Where and when is Gievenbeck vs Hiltrup played?
- Gievenbeck vs Hiltrup is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Senger Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 4, 2026MaaslingenvsEintracht Rheine
- Oct 4, 2026Westfalia KinderhausvsArminia II
- Oct 4, 2026Lippstadt 08vsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- Oct 4, 2026ErkenschwickvsVerl II
- Oct 4, 2026Preußen Münster IIvsVictoria Clarholz
- Oct 4, 2026SchermbeckvsSprockhovel
- Oct 4, 2026EnnepetalvsASC Dortmund
- Oct 4, 2026TuS HordelvsVreden