Ennepetal vs ASC Dortmund: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Bremenstadion, Ennepetal
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Ennepetal. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ennepetal vs ASC Dortmund?
ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ennepetal have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; ASC Dortmund have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Kinderhaus(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Erkenschwick(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Vreden(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 17, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ennepetal win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 ASC Dortmund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Ennepetal 1-1 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Dec 14, 2025 | ASC Dortmund 6-2 Ennepetal | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Ennepetal 1-0 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 29, 2024 | ASC Dortmund 2-1 Ennepetal | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Ennepetal 1-1 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 15, 2023 | ASC Dortmund 1-0 Ennepetal | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Ennepetal vs ASC Dortmund on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ennepetal score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ennepetal | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| ASC Dortmund | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ennepetal sit 14th in Oberliga - Westfalen (2 points from 3 matches) and ASC Dortmund sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ennepetal | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | ASC Dortmund | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ennepetal vs ASC Dortmund?
- The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Ennepetal.
- Where and when is Ennepetal vs ASC Dortmund played?
- Ennepetal vs ASC Dortmund is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Bremenstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 4, 2026MaaslingenvsEintracht Rheine
- Oct 4, 2026ErkenschwickvsVerl II
- Oct 4, 2026GievenbeckvsHiltrup
- Oct 4, 2026Preußen Münster IIvsVictoria Clarholz
- Oct 4, 2026SchermbeckvsSprockhovel
- Oct 4, 2026Westfalia KinderhausvsArminia II
- Oct 4, 2026Lippstadt 08vsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- Oct 4, 2026TuS HordelvsVreden