Tusker vs Mara Sugar: result 0-1 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ruaraka Stadium, Nairobi
Full time
What was the result of Tusker vs Mara Sugar?
Mara Sugar won 0-1 on April 24, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 88′621736Mara Sugar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tusker have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Mara Sugar have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sofapaka(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 1-0 | Shield Cup |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | AFC Leopards(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | KCB(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | APS Bomet(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Tusker win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mara Sugar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Mara Sugar 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Mara Sugar 1-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Tusker 2-1 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Mara Sugar 1-2 Tusker | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Tusker score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tusker sit 9th in FKF Premier League (45 points from 34 matches) and Mara Sugar sit 11th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 32 | 45 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy