Shabana vs Mara Sugar: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Raila Odinga Homa Bay Stadium, Homa Bay
Match postponed, new date to be confirmed
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shabana have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mara Sugar have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | KCB(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bidco United(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | 3K(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shabana wins, 1 draw, 3 Mara Sugar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Mara Sugar 1-0 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Shabana 0-0 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
| May 18, 2025 | Shabana 0-1 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Mara Sugar 1-0 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Shabana 3-2 Mara Sugar | Super League |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Mara Sugar 0-1 Shabana | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Mara Sugar vs Shabana on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shabana score 0.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 0.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabana | 0.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shabana sit 5th in FKF Premier League (4 points from 2 matches) and Mara Sugar sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mara Sugar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Shabana | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
A question about Shabana vs Mara Sugar?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy