Twente vs FC Thun: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 1Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for FC Thun. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente vs FC Thun?
Twente starts as the favourite with a 293-point Elo edge (2,112 vs 1,818).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Twente vs FC Thun
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 8D. Weidmann
- 27S. Ørjasæter
- 10Y. Taha
- 7M. Pjaca
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 3R. Pröpper
- 38M. Bruns
- 1L. Unnerstall
FC Thun
4-4-2- 96B. Labeau
- 80S. Lengen
- 8F. Saiz
- 16J. Roth
- 70N. Reichmuth
- 13N. Zoukit
- 18T. Strannegård
- 37L. Dähler
- 23M. Bürki
- 19J. Bamert
- 1N. Steffen
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FC Thun have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Vaduz(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Servette FC(home) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Grasshoppers(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Twente score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Thun score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Thun | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Twente vs FC Thun?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente vs FC Thun?
- The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for FC Thun.
- Where and when is Twente vs FC Thun played?
- Twente vs FC Thun is played on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at De Grolsch Veste, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.