Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Hadera: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Hadera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Hadera?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Tzeirey Tira (1,691) and Hapoel Hadera (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirey Tira have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Hadera have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Dimona(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 5-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 5, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirey Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirey Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Hadera | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tzeirey Tira | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Hadera?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Hadera.
- Where and when is Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Hadera played?
- Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Hadera is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel AzorvsDimona
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsFC Jerusalem
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Herzliya
- Oct 19, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Oct 19, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsBeitar Yavne
- Oct 19, 2026Maccabi YavnevsHolon Yermiyahu
- Oct 19, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Marmorek
- Oct 19, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Ramat HaSharon