UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 41Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental de Villa Lynch, General San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Villa San Carlos the favourite at 42%, against 35% for a draw and 23% for UAI Urquiza. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate UAI Urquiza (1,578) and Villa San Carlos (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UAI Urquiza have 1 wins, 9 draws and 5 defeats; Villa San Carlos have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flandria(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 3-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dock Sud(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 UAI Urquiza win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Villa San Carlos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Villa San Carlos 0-0 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Villa San Carlos 3-0 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 27, 2025 | UAI Urquiza 1-1 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 29, 2024 | UAI Urquiza 1-0 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Villa San Carlos 3-1 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 16, 2023 | UAI Urquiza 0-0 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Villa San Carlos vs UAI Urquiza on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UAI Urquiza score 0.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Villa San Carlos score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAI Urquiza | 0.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Villa San Carlos | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UAI Urquiza sit 19th in Primera B Metropolitana (20 points from 20 matches) and Villa San Carlos sit 21st (16 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Villa San Carlos | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 38 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 32 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 28 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos?
- The Footlab model makes Villa San Carlos the favourite at 42%, against 35% for a draw and 23% for UAI Urquiza.
- Where and when is UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos played?
- UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental de Villa Lynch, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Arsenal SarandivsDeportivo Camioneros
- Oct 24, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsDefensores Unidos
- Oct 24, 2026Villa DalminevsSan Martín Burzaco
- Oct 24, 2026Deportivo LaferrerevsComunicaciones
- Oct 24, 2026Talleres RemediosvsDock Sud
- Oct 24, 2026Real PilarvsLiniers
- Oct 24, 2026Deportivo ArmeniovsArgentino Quilmes
- Oct 24, 2026Argentino de MerlovsDeportivo Merlo