UCD vs Derry City: result 1-2 and analysis
FAI CupRound of 16Kick-off on August 14, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)UCD Bowl, Dublin
Full time
What was the result of UCD vs Derry City?
Derry City won 1-2 on August 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 7′M. DuffyDerry City
- 17′L. DignamUCD
- 64′T. SmithDerry City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCD have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Derry City have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wexford(home) | 4-1 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Treaty United(home) | 1-2 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Athlone Town(away) | 0-0 | First Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Cork City(home) | 5-2 | First Division |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Treaty United(away) | 2-1 | FAI Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sligo Rovers(home) | 2-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Tolka Rovers(home) | 3-0 | FAI Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 UCD win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Derry City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2023 | Derry City 6-0 UCD | Premier Division |
| Sep 6, 2023 | UCD 0-5 Derry City | Premier Division |
| May 19, 2023 | Derry City 4-1 UCD | Premier Division |
| Mar 6, 2023 | UCD 0-4 Derry City | Premier Division |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Derry City 3-0 UCD | Premier Division |
| Jun 24, 2022 | UCD 0-1 Derry City | Premier Division |
How many goals should we expect?
UCD score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derry City score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Derry City | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy