UCD vs Longford Town: prediction and stats
First DivisionSemi-finalsKick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)UCD Bowl, Dublin
The Footlab AI model makes UCD the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Longford Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If UCD wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,263 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCD vs Longford Town?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate UCD (1,371) and Longford Town (1,346).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UCD vs Longford Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UCD
4-3-3- 24S. Norval
- 15Charles Akinrintayo
- 25G. Lavin
- 8L. Dignam
- 12M. Alonge
- 10C. Behan
- 14H. Curtis
- 18N. Holohan
- 22Thomas Morley
- 5C. Lennox
- 1D. Kavanagh
Longford Town
4-3-3- 14D. Williams
- 9S. Ugbesia
- 7D. George
- 6S. Adenekan
- 10A. Doran
- 28Sean Moore
- 21J. Hough
- 5T. McCarthy
- 12C. Omorehiomwan
- 8Pharrell Manuel
- 1K. Moore
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCD have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Longford Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Longford Town(away) | 2-0 | First Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Wexford(away) | 5-2 | First Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Treaty United(away) | 4-0 | First Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | UCD(home) | 0-2 | First Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Athlone Town(home) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | UCD(away) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wexford(away) | 3-3 | First Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cork City(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 UCD wins, 2 draws, 1 Longford Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Longford Town 0-2 UCD | First Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | UCD 1-1 Longford Town | First Division |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Longford Town 2-1 UCD | First Division |
| May 1, 2026 | UCD 2-0 Longford Town | First Division |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Longford Town 0-0 UCD | First Division |
| Sep 12, 2025 | UCD 2-1 Longford Town | First Division |
How many goals should we expect?
UCD score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Longford Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 2.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Longford Town | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCD sit 2nd in First Division (56 points from 36 matches) and Longford Town sit 5th (52 points from 36 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 67 | 51 | 56 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 52 |
A question about UCD vs Longford Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCD vs Longford Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes UCD the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Longford Town.
- Where and when is UCD vs Longford Town played?
- UCD vs Longford Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at UCD Bowl, in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.