UCSA vs Yarud Mariupol': result 1-2 and analysis
Persha LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Kyiv
Full time
What was the result of UCSA vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Yarud Mariupol' won 1-2 on October 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′P. CastroUCSA
- 56′O. SynytsiaYarud Mariupol'
- 59′A. RemenyakYarud Mariupol'
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Yarud Mariupol' win at 57%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for UCSA vs Yarud Mariupol'
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
UCSA
- 22Yegor Rogach
- 6R. Yuvkhimets
- 10Matheusinho
- 17O. Sklyar
- 49Vitinho
- 70D. Irodovskyi
- 73P. Castro
- 15O. Osman
- 35Hiago
- 45D. Sabiyev
- 12A. Kovalev
Yarud Mariupol'
- 6E. Gunichev
- 9S. Kyslenko
- 8A. Kukharuk
- 10P. Orikhovskyi
- 11V. Kucherov
- 96O. Synytsia
- 15O. Chornomorets
- 20O. Nikolyshyn
- 33V. Sydorenko
- 97O. Gerega
- 1V. Zhupanskyi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCSA have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Yarud Mariupol' have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Polissya II(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 UCSA wins, 2 draws, 0 Yarud Mariupol' wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Yarud Mariupol' 1-1 UCSA | Persha Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | UCSA 0-0 Yarud Mariupol' | Persha Liga |
| Oct 14, 2024 | UCSA 3-0 Yarud Mariupol' | Persha Liga |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Yarud Mariupol' 2-3 UCSA | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Yarud Mariupol' vs UCSA on Nov 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
UCSA score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Yarud Mariupol' score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCSA | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Yarud Mariupol' | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCSA sit 13th in Persha Liga (11 points from 12 matches) and Yarud Mariupol' sit 5th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yarud Mariupol' | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 21 |
| 13 | UCSA | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
A question about UCSA vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy