UD Logroñés vs Pontevedra: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño
The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Pontevedra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD Logroñés vs Pontevedra?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate UD Logroñés (2,041) and Pontevedra (1,988).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Pontevedra have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Huesca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
UD Logroñés score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés | 2.0 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Pontevedra | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49 | 31 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés vs Pontevedra?
- The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Pontevedra.
- Where and when is UD Logroñés vs Pontevedra played?
- UD Logroñés vs Pontevedra is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.