Match

Ponferradina vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada

PonferradinaUD Logroñés

The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ponferradina. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD Logroñés wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ponferradina vs UD Logroñés?

UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (2,047 vs 1,941).

35%29%36%
Ponferradina winDrawUD Logroñés win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ponferradina vs UD Logroñés

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ponferradina

4-3-3
  1. 7C. Calderon
  2. 10Borja Valle
  3. 12Unai Sabroso Lorenzo
  1. 6Fede San Emeterio
  2. 8Arturo Molina
  3. 15O. Vacas
  1. 3Sergio Nieto
  2. 4A. Jelbat
  3. 24Koke
  4. 2David Andújar
  1. 1Álex Domínguez

UD Logroñés

4-3-3
  1. 21Ismael Santana
  2. 11Marcos Baselga
  3. 19I. Asenjo
  1. 14David Navarro
  2. 20Anai Morales
  3. 6Mario Maroto
  1. 3Sergio Camacho
  2. 5A. Alvarez
  3. 4Eduardo Cabetas
  4. 22Carlos García-Die
  1. 13Fermín Sobrón

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:49 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ponferradina have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; UD Logroñés have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ponferradina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Real Avilés(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mirandes(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Pontevedra(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
UD Logroñés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Lugo(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Mérida AD(away)5-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026Pontevedra(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026UD Ourense(away)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Ponferradina wins, 1 draw, 0 UD Logroñés wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2025UD Logroñés 1-3 PonferradinaCopa del Rey
Mar 30, 2021Ponferradina 2-2 UD LogroñésSegunda División
Dec 2, 2020UD Logroñés 1-2 PonferradinaSegunda División

Last archived meeting: UD Logroñés vs Ponferradina on Oct 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ponferradina score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ponferradina0.91.185/155/15
UD Logroñés2.10.969/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ponferradina sit 9th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 7 matches) and UD Logroñés sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1UD Logroñés651015716
9Ponferradina73225511

A question about Ponferradina vs UD Logroñés?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ponferradina vs UD Logroñés?
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ponferradina.
Where and when is Ponferradina vs UD Logroñés played?
Ponferradina vs UD Logroñés is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Toralín, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ponferradina and UD Logroñés

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