Where and when is Zamora vs Lugo played?

Zamora vs Lugo is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zamora vs Lugo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora

Zamora

Lugo

The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Lugo. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zamora vs Lugo?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Zamora (1,974) and Lugo (1,885).

Zamora win51 %

Draw28 %

Lugo win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamora have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Lugo have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zamora
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Real Madrid II(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026	Sabadell(away)	0-4	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026	Sabadell(home)	1-0	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026	Villarreal II(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026	Villarreal II(away)	0-2	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

Lugo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Coruxo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(away)	1-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Zamora win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lugo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Lugo 1-3 Zamora	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 14, 2025	Zamora 1-0 Lugo	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2025	Lugo 2-0 Zamora	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 22, 2024	Zamora 2-0 Lugo	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Lugo vs Zamora on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zamora	1.4	1.1	6	6/15	8/15
Lugo	0.9	1.3	5	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zamora sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (61 points from 38 matches) and Lugo sit 9th (53 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Zamora	38	17	10	11	53	42	61
9	Lugo	38	13	14	11	36	40	53

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zamora vs Lugo?: The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Lugo.
Where and when is Zamora vs Lugo played?: Zamora vs Lugo is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.