Uganda vs Nigeria: result 1-3 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on December 30, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de Fès, Fès
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What was the result of Uganda vs Nigeria?
Nigeria won 1-3 on December 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 28′P. OnuachuNigeria
- 62′R. OnyedikaNigeria
- 67′R. OnyedikaNigeria
- 75′R. MatoUganda
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uganda have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Nigeria have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Tanzania(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Tunisia(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Chad(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Algeria(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Tunisia(home) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Egypt(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Congo DR(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Gabon(home) | 4-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Uganda win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nigeria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2018 | Nigeria 0-0 Uganda | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Uganda score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nigeria score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Nigeria | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uganda sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations (1 points from 3 matches) and Nigeria sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy