Match

Angola vs South Sudan: prediction and stats

Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 3Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, Benguela

AngolaSouth Sudan

The Footlab AI model makes Angola the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for South Sudan. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Angola vs South Sudan?

Angola starts as the favourite with a 249-point Elo edge (1,591 vs 1,342).

79%15%6%
Angola winDrawSouth Sudan win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Angola vs South Sudan

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Angola

4-3-3
  1. 19Mabululu
  2. 18Zito Luvumbo
  3. 11Milson
  1. 20Manuel Keliano
  2. 16David Carmo
  3. 23Show
  1. 13Pedro Francisco
  2. 6Kialonda Gaspar
  3. 3Jonathan Buatu
  4. 4M. Sambu
  1. 22Neblú

South Sudan

4-4-2
  1. 10J. Dwang
  2. 18K. Majak
  1. 7Valentino Kuach Yuel
  2. 5C. Yak
  3. 15M. Albano
  4. 12M. Malish
  1. 2B. Laku
  2. 13S. Taban
  3. 3R. Okocha
  4. 7D. John
  1. 23M. Mawith

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:53 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angola have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; South Sudan have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Angola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 6, 2026Malawi(home)3-1Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Sep 25, 2026Egypt(away)0-0Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Jun 9, 2026Central African Republic(home)3-0Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026Mauritania(home)1-1Friendlies
Dec 29, 2025Egypt(home)0-0Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 29, 2026Egypt(home)0-5Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Sep 25, 2026Malawi(away)1-2Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Mar 29, 2026Djibouti(home)0-1Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Mar 26, 2026Djibouti(away)4-0Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Nov 25, 2025Syria(away)0-2Arab Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Angola score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; South Sudan score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Angola1.31.148/157/15
South Sudan0.92.036/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Angola sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (4 points from 2 matches) and South Sudan sit 4th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Angola2110314
4South Sudan2002170

A question about Angola vs South Sudan?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Angola vs South Sudan?
The Footlab AI model makes Angola the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for South Sudan.
Where and when is Angola vs South Sudan played?
Angola vs South Sudan is played on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Angola and South Sudan

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