Újpest II vs Csepel: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Újpest II the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Csepel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Újpest II vs Csepel?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Újpest II (1,439) and Csepel (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Újpest II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Csepel have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vasas II(away) | 5-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sándorfalva(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bekescsaba 1912(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BKV Előre(home) | 6-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Veszprém(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Csepel UFC(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | ESMTK(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Monori Se(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Újpest II score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Csepel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Újpest II | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Csepel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Újpest II sit 5th in NB III - Southeast (7 points from 4 matches) and Csepel sit 9th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Újpest II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Csepel | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Újpest II vs Csepel?
- The Footlab model makes Újpest II the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Csepel.
- Where and when is Újpest II vs Csepel played?
- Újpest II vs Csepel is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Szusza Ferenc Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.