Gyulai Termál vs ESMTK: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)id. Christián László Városi Sporttelep, Gyula
The Footlab model makes Gyulai Termál the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for ESMTK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gyulai Termál vs ESMTK?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Gyulai Termál (1,662) and ESMTK (1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gyulai Termál have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; ESMTK have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BKV Előre(home) | 5-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bekescsaba 1912(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | BKV Előre(away) | 4-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sándorfalva(home) | 7-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Algyő SK(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BKV Előre(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Csepel(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Gyulai Termál win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 ESMTK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gyulai Termál 1-1 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 28, 2025 | ESMTK 2-1 Gyulai Termál | NB III - Southeast |
| May 11, 2025 | Gyulai Termál 0-0 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 27, 2024 | ESMTK 1-1 Gyulai Termál | NB III - Southeast |
Last archived meeting: Gyulai Termál vs ESMTK on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gyulai Termál score 3.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; ESMTK score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyulai Termál | 3.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| ESMTK | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gyulai Termál sit 1st in NB III - Southeast (12 points from 4 matches) and ESMTK sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyulai Termál | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | ESMTK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gyulai Termál vs ESMTK?
- The Footlab model makes Gyulai Termál the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for ESMTK.
- Where and when is Gyulai Termál vs ESMTK played?
- Gyulai Termál vs ESMTK is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at id. Christián László Városi Sporttelep, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.