Ulaanbaatar vs Deren: result 4-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on June 11, 2025 at 08:15 AM (UTC)Football Centre MFF, Ulan Bator (Ulaanbaatar)
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What was the result of Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
Ulaanbaatar won 4-1 on June 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 19′?Ulaanbaatar
- 45′?Ulaanbaatar (pen.)
- 58′?Ulaanbaatar
- 65′?Deren
- 88′?Ulaanbaatar (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulaanbaatar have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Deren have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2025 | Khoromkhon(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Central Stallions(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Khovd(away) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Erchim(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Bayanzürkh Sporting(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2025 | Falcons(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Khangarid(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Khoromkhon(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Central Stallions(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Khovd(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ulaanbaatar wins, 1 draw, 3 Deren wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Deren 2-0 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Deren 1-1 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Ulaanbaatar 5-1 Deren | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Deren 1-0 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| May 28, 2023 | Ulaanbaatar 4-2 Deren | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Deren 1-0 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ulaanbaatar score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Deren score 2.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulaanbaatar | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Deren | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulaanbaatar sit 2nd in Premier League (19 points from 7 matches) and Deren sit 3rd (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ulaanbaatar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Deren | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 17 |
A question about Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy