Ullern vs Nordstrand: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ullern kunstgress, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Ullern the favourite at 44%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Nordstrand. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ullern vs Nordstrand?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Ullern (1,547) and Nordstrand (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ullern have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Nordstrand have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Carl Berner(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(home) | 2-5 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Frigg(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Heming(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Asker(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Skeid(home) | 1-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | KFUM II(away) | 2-7 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Frigg(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Konnerud(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ullern win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nordstrand win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Nordstrand 2-3 Ullern | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Nordstrand 4-0 Ullern | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| May 16, 2024 | Ullern 1-2 Nordstrand | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Nordstrand 0-4 Ullern | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ullern score 1.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nordstrand score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ullern | 1.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
| Nordstrand | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ullern sit 11th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (14 points from 16 matches) and Nordstrand sit 10th (16 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nordstrand | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 40 | 16 |
| 11 | Ullern | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 41 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ullern vs Nordstrand?
- The Footlab model makes Ullern the favourite at 44%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Nordstrand.
- Where and when is Ullern vs Nordstrand played?
- Ullern vs Nordstrand is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ullern kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.