Frigg vs SF Grei: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tørteberg kunstgress 2, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Frigg the favourite at 77%, against 12% for a draw and 11% for SF Grei. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frigg vs SF Grei?
Frigg starts as the favourite with a 291-point Elo edge (1,765 vs 1,475).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frigg have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; SF Grei have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kjelsås(home) | 0-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lokomotiv Oslo(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nordstrand(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ullern(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | IF Ready(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 0-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bærum(home) | 1-7 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Oslo(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KFUM II(away) | 0-5 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Konnerud(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Frigg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SF Grei win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | SF Grei 2-5 Frigg | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Frigg score 2.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; SF Grei score 1.5 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frigg | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
| SF Grei | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frigg sit 6th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (26 points from 16 matches) and SF Grei sit 14th (10 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Frigg | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 31 | 26 |
| 14 | SF Grei | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 56 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frigg vs SF Grei?
- The Footlab model makes Frigg the favourite at 77%, against 12% for a draw and 11% for SF Grei.
- Where and when is Frigg vs SF Grei played?
- Frigg vs SF Grei is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tørteberg kunstgress 2, in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.