UNA Strassen vs FC Differdange 03: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif Jean Wirtz, Strossen
The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for FC Differdange 03. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UNA Strassen vs FC Differdange 03?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate UNA Strassen (1,680) and FC Differdange 03 (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UNA Strassen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; FC Differdange 03 have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 UNA Strassen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Differdange 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | FC Differdange 03 0-0 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Mar 4, 2026 | FC Differdange 03 4-3 UNA Strassen | Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | UNA Strassen 3-1 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| May 25, 2025 | UNA Strassen 1-0 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNA Strassen 1-2 FC Differdange 03 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2024 | FC Differdange 03 2-0 UNA Strassen | National Division |
Last archived meeting: FC Differdange 03 vs UNA Strassen on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UNA Strassen score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA Strassen | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNA Strassen sit 1st in National Division (12 points from 4 matches) and FC Differdange 03 sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UNA Strassen vs FC Differdange 03?
- The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for FC Differdange 03.
- Where and when is UNA Strassen vs FC Differdange 03 played?
- UNA Strassen vs FC Differdange 03 is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif Jean Wirtz, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Progres NiederkornvsF91 Dudelange
- May 15, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsUS Hostert
- May 15, 2027US RumelangevsEtzella Ettelbruck
- May 15, 2027US Mondorf-les-bainsvsSwift Hesperange
- May 15, 2027WiltzvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- May 15, 2027Atert BissenvsVictoria Rosport
- May 15, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsAS Jeunesse Esch