FC Differdange 03 vs US Mondorf-les-bains: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parc des Sports, Differdange
The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for US Mondorf-les-bains. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Differdange 03 vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
FC Differdange 03 starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Differdange 03 have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; US Mondorf-les-bains have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Differdange 03 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains 3-2 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | FC Differdange 03 1-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Oct 5, 2025 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-3 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Feb 23, 2025 | FC Differdange 03 3-0 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Aug 25, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 0-4 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Mar 3, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 0-2 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Mondorf-les-bains vs FC Differdange 03 on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Differdange 03 sit 5th in National Division (6 points from 3 matches) and US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Differdange 03 vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
- The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for US Mondorf-les-bains.
- Where and when is FC Differdange 03 vs US Mondorf-les-bains played?
- FC Differdange 03 vs US Mondorf-les-bains is played on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parc des Sports, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 23, 2027F91 DudelangevsAtert Bissen
- May 23, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsProgres Niederkorn
- May 23, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- May 23, 2027Victoria RosportvsUNA Strassen
- May 23, 2027US HostertvsRésidence Walferdange
- May 23, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsWiltz
- May 23, 2027Swift HesperangevsUS Rumelange