US Mondorf-les-bains vs Swift Hesperange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade John Grün, Mondorf-les-Bains
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Swift Hesperange. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Mondorf-les-bains vs Swift Hesperange?
US Mondorf-les-bains starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,414).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Mondorf-les-bains have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Swift Hesperange have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(away) | 0-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiltz(home) | 2-7 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Rumelange(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| May 23, 2026 | Union Titus Petange(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Swift Hesperange win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-0 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Swift Hesperange 1-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| May 11, 2025 | US Mondorf-les-bains 4-0 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Swift Hesperange 0-3 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Swift Hesperange 1-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Oct 22, 2023 | US Mondorf-les-bains 0-2 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Mondorf-les-bains vs Swift Hesperange on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Swift Hesperange score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Swift Hesperange | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th in National Division (9 points from 3 matches) and Swift Hesperange sit 16th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Mondorf-les-bains vs Swift Hesperange?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Swift Hesperange.
- Where and when is US Mondorf-les-bains vs Swift Hesperange played?
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs Swift Hesperange is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade John Grün, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Progres NiederkornvsF91 Dudelange
- May 15, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsUS Hostert
- May 15, 2027US RumelangevsEtzella Ettelbruck
- May 15, 2027UNA StrassenvsFC Differdange 03
- May 15, 2027WiltzvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- May 15, 2027Atert BissenvsVictoria Rosport
- May 15, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsAS Jeunesse Esch