UNA Strassen vs Wiltz: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif Jean Wirtz, Strossen
The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Wiltz. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UNA Strassen vs Wiltz?
UNA Strassen starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,680 vs 1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UNA Strassen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Wiltz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 7-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 UNA Strassen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Wiltz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | UNA Strassen 3-0 Wiltz | National Division |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Wiltz 0-3 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Apr 7, 2024 | UNA Strassen 1-1 Wiltz | National Division |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Wiltz 2-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Mar 29, 2023 | Wiltz 2-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Oct 9, 2022 | UNA Strassen 4-3 Wiltz | National Division |
Last archived meeting: UNA Strassen vs Wiltz on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
UNA Strassen score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA Strassen | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
| Wiltz | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNA Strassen sit 1st in National Division (12 points from 4 matches) and Wiltz sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Wiltz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UNA Strassen vs Wiltz?
- The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Wiltz.
- Where and when is UNA Strassen vs Wiltz played?
- UNA Strassen vs Wiltz is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif Jean Wirtz, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027F91 DudelangevsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Apr 4, 2027Progres NiederkornvsUS Hostert
- Apr 4, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Apr 4, 2027US Mondorf-les-bainsvsUS Rumelange
- Apr 4, 2027Victoria RosportvsSwift Hesperange
- Apr 4, 2027Atert BissenvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Apr 4, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsFC Differdange 03