Wiltz vs US Mondorf-les-bains: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade am Petz, Weidingen
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Wiltz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiltz vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
US Mondorf-les-bains starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiltz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; US Mondorf-les-bains have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 7-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Wiltz win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Wiltz 0-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Sep 15, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 3-2 Wiltz | National Division |
| May 12, 2024 | Wiltz 2-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Dec 3, 2023 | US Mondorf-les-bains 2-0 Wiltz | National Division |
| Apr 30, 2023 | US Mondorf-les-bains 3-0 Wiltz | National Division |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Wiltz 4-4 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Wiltz vs US Mondorf-les-bains on Mar 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiltz | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiltz sit 9th in National Division (4 points from 3 matches) and US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Wiltz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiltz vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Wiltz.
- Where and when is Wiltz vs US Mondorf-les-bains played?
- Wiltz vs US Mondorf-les-bains is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade am Petz, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027FC Differdange 03vsVictoria Rosport
- Apr 11, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsUNA Strassen
- Apr 11, 2027US RumelangevsRésidence Walferdange
- Apr 11, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsProgres Niederkorn
- Apr 11, 2027US HostertvsAtert Bissen
- Apr 11, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Apr 11, 2027Swift HesperangevsF91 Dudelange