US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Rumelange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade John Grün, Mondorf-les-Bains
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for US Rumelange. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Rumelange?
US Mondorf-les-bains is a heavy favourite: 1,656 Elo points against 1,306, a 350-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Mondorf-les-bains have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; US Rumelange have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 US Rumelange win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2019 | US Rumelange 1-3 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Oct 21, 2018 | US Mondorf-les-bains 4-3 US Rumelange | National Division |
| May 21, 2017 | US Rumelange 5-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Aug 7, 2016 | US Mondorf-les-bains 0-0 US Rumelange | National Division |
| May 22, 2016 | US Rumelange 0-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2015 | US Mondorf-les-bains 0-3 US Rumelange | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains on Apr 20, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; US Rumelange score 2.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| US Rumelange | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th in National Division (9 points from 3 matches) and US Rumelange sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | US Rumelange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | US Rumelange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Rumelange?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for US Rumelange.
- Where and when is US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Rumelange played?
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Rumelange is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade John Grün, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027F91 DudelangevsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Apr 4, 2027Progres NiederkornvsUS Hostert
- Apr 4, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Apr 4, 2027UNA StrassenvsWiltz
- Apr 4, 2027Victoria RosportvsSwift Hesperange
- Apr 4, 2027Atert BissenvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Apr 4, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsFC Differdange 03