Uni Minsk vs Lida: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Lida the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Uni Minsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uni Minsk vs Lida?
Lida starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,502 vs 1,353).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uni Minsk have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lida have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orsha(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Volna(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Smorgon(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niva(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Uni Minsk win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lida win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Lida 0-0 Uni Minsk | 1. Division |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Uni Minsk 0-3 Lida | 1. Division |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Lida 3-1 Uni Minsk | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Uni Minsk score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lida score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uni Minsk | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lida | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uni Minsk sit 13th in 1. Division (24 points from 21 matches) and Lida sit 3rd (39 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lida | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 34 | 39 |
| 5 | Lida | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 20 |
| 13 | Uni Minsk | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27 | 24 |
| 13 | Uni Minsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uni Minsk vs Lida?
- The Footlab model makes Lida the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Uni Minsk.
- Where and when is Uni Minsk vs Lida played?
- Uni Minsk vs Lida is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.