Orsha vs Bumprom: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Haradski, Orsha
The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Orsha. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orsha vs Bumprom?
Bumprom starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,493 vs 1,278).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orsha have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Bumprom have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BATE II(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Gomel II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Orsha win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bumprom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Bumprom 1-3 Orsha | 1. Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Bumprom 4-0 Orsha | 1. Division |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Orsha 0-3 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Bumprom 3-4 Orsha | 1. Division |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Orsha 1-0 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Bumprom 2-2 Orsha | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Orsha score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bumprom score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orsha | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Bumprom | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orsha sit 15th in 1. Division (22 points from 20 matches) and Bumprom sit 7th (34 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bumprom | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Bumprom | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 34 |
| 12 | Orsha | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Orsha | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 35 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orsha vs Bumprom?
- The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Orsha.
- Where and when is Orsha vs Bumprom played?
- Orsha vs Bumprom is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Haradski, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.