BATE II vs Niva: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Niva the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 16% for BATE II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BATE II vs Niva?
Niva starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,551 vs 1,331).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BATE II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Niva have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volna(home) | 5-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lida(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 6-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 BATE II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Niva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Niva 5-0 BATE II | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Niva 5-3 BATE II | 1. Division |
| Apr 6, 2025 | BATE II 1-1 Niva | 1. Division |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Niva 6-1 BATE II | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2024 | BATE II 1-0 Niva | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
BATE II score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Niva score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATE II | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Niva | 2.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BATE II sit 17th in 1. Division (17 points from 21 matches) and Niva sit 1st (42 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niva | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 42 |
| 9 | Niva | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 17 |
| 14 | BATE II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 11 |
| 17 | BATE II | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 49 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BATE II vs Niva?
- The Footlab model makes Niva the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 16% for BATE II.
- Where and when is BATE II vs Niva played?
- BATE II vs Niva is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.