Volna vs Smorgon: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Valna, Pinsk
The Footlab AI model makes Smorgon the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Volna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Smorgon wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volna vs Smorgon?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Volna (1,367) and Smorgon (1,452).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Volna vs Smorgon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Volna
4-3-3- 7A. Radzhabov
- 91D. Matyash
- 15V. Kibuk
- 8A. Vlasov
- 10M. Grechikha
- 97Y. Oreshkevich
- 33I. Sedro
- 17K. Polkhovskiy
- 6I. Tarabesh
- 25K. Kovsh
- 12S. Letsko
Smorgon
4-3-3- 17M. Dukso
- 7J. Nsangou
- 23A. Stankevich
- 30B. Fartuna
- 99G. Malashenko
- 78V. Kovalevich
- 2C. Intsoen
- 77I. Bogdanovich
- 27A. Tishko
- 3M. Autko
- 1Maksim Azarko
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volna have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Smorgon have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Osipovichy(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lida(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Niva(away) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Slutsk(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Minsk II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Lida(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Niva(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Volna wins, 0 draws, 4 Smorgon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Smorgon 1-3 Volna | 1. Division |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Smorgon 2-0 Volna | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Volna 1-3 Smorgon | 1. Division |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Volna 2-3 Smorgon | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2020 | Smorgon 2-0 Volna | 1. Division |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Smorgon 1-2 Volna | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Volna score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Smorgon score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volna | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Smorgon | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volna sit 12th in 1. Division (35 points from 28 matches) and Smorgon sit 9th (36 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Smorgon | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 36 |
| 12 | Volna | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 51 | 35 |
A question about Volna vs Smorgon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volna vs Smorgon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Smorgon the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Volna.
- Where and when is Volna vs Smorgon played?
- Volna vs Smorgon is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Valna, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.