Match

União Lamas vs Estrela: prediction and stats

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 19Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Comendador Henrique Amorim, Santa Maria de Lamas

União LamasEstrela

The Footlab AI model makes Estrela the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for União Lamas. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win União Lamas vs Estrela?

Estrela starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (2,016 vs 1,811).

13%23%64%
União Lamas winDrawEstrela win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for União Lamas vs Estrela

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

União Lamas

4-3-3
  1. 11Joaquim Rodrigues
  2. 9G. Matos Monteiro
  3. 87V. Andrade
  1. 13L. Salgado
  2. 22R. Braga
  3. 6F. Melo
  1. 2W. Rosero
  2. 44D. Araujo
  3. 5L. P. Pinto
  4. 18Joao
  1. 1F. Enes Guimaraes

Estrela

4-2-3-1
  1. 37L. Antonetti
  1. 10I. Stoica
  2. 99A. Marcus
  3. 14L. Zvonarek
  4. 39Eddy Doue
  5. 78Santiago Serra
  1. 55Rafa Soares
  2. 21M. Scholze
  3. 5S. Leković
  4. 4Bernardo Schappo
  1. 24Léo Linck

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:31 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, União Lamas have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Estrela have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

União Lamas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Camacha(home)0-3Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Sep 13, 2026Sousense(away)3-3Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Sep 6, 2026Guarda(home)1-0Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Aug 28, 2026Beira-Mar(away)3-3Taça de Portugal
Aug 23, 2026Ovarense(away)0-1Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Estrela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Fazendense(away)2-1Taça de Portugal
Oct 11, 2026Arouca(away)0-1Primeira Liga
Sep 20, 2026Academico Viseu(home)0-2Primeira Liga
Sep 14, 2026Rio Ave(away)3-3Primeira Liga
Sep 10, 2026SC Braga(home)2-1Primeira Liga

How many goals should we expect?

União Lamas score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
União Lamas1.01.375/156/15
Estrela1.71.5211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9União Lamas4121555

A question about União Lamas vs Estrela?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for União Lamas vs Estrela?
The Footlab AI model makes Estrela the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for União Lamas.
Where and when is União Lamas vs Estrela played?
União Lamas vs Estrela is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Comendador Henrique Amorim, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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