Match

Union Brescia vs Folgore Caratese: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 31Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia

Union BresciaFolgore Caratese

The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Folgore Caratese. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,192 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Brescia vs Folgore Caratese?

Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,918 vs 1,768).

63%23%14%
Union Brescia winDrawFolgore Caratese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Union Brescia vs Folgore Caratese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Union Brescia

4-3-3
  1. 30J. Pellegrini
  2. 17M. Marras
  3. 7D. Di Molfetta
  1. 25A. Rizzo Pinna
  2. 14A. Mallamo
  3. 6A. Mercati
  1. 28L. Silvestri
  2. 15T. Casasola
  3. 95S. Sina
  4. 3A. Rizzo
  1. 66S. Gori

Folgore Caratese

4-3-3
  1. 77K. Mezsargs
  2. 9S. Spalluto
  3. 61A. Santarcangelo
  1. 8F. Castellano
  2. 99F. D'Amico
  3. 6E. Ndoj
  1. 21E. Gega
  2. 11M. Balzano
  3. 19T. Duca
  4. 29F. Minerva
  1. 63M. Sarr

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Brescia have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Folgore Caratese have 1, 7 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Brescia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(home)3-2Serie C - Girone A
Nov 1, 2026Folgore Caratese(away)4-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 28, 2026Cittadella(home)1-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Oct 24, 2026Cittadella(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 19, 2026Giana Erminio(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Folgore Caratese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Nov 1, 2026Union Brescia(home)0-4Serie C - Girone A
Oct 25, 2026Lecco(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 17, 2026Treviso(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2026Trento(away)0-1Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Union Brescia win, 0 draws, 0 Folgore Caratese wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Folgore Caratese 0-4 Union BresciaSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Folgore Caratese vs Union Brescia on Nov 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Brescia score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Folgore Caratese score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union Brescia2.11.069/1510/15
Folgore Caratese0.81.538/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Brescia sit 2nd in Serie C - Girone A (28 points from 13 matches) and Folgore Caratese sit 20th (8 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Union Brescia13841261128
20Folgore Caratese1315711218

A question about Union Brescia vs Folgore Caratese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Brescia vs Folgore Caratese?
The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Folgore Caratese.
Where and when is Union Brescia vs Folgore Caratese played?
Union Brescia vs Folgore Caratese is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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