Renate vs Athletic Carpi: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 31Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mino Favini, Meda
The Footlab AI model makes Renate the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Athletic Carpi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Renate wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Renate vs Athletic Carpi?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Renate (1,677) and Athletic Carpi (1,624).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Renate vs Athletic Carpi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Renate
4-3-3- 92N. Anelli
- 47L. Kerrigan
- 7J. Italeng
- 11A. Delcarro
- 25F. Vassallo
- 14M. Calì
- 5S. Auriletto
- 13A. Moțoc
- 21C. Riviera
- 29T. Botrini
- 30M. Avella
Athletic Carpi
4-3-3- 90V. Vitale
- 18T. Carcani
- 83A. Sall
- 11F. Puletto
- 10F. Casarini
- 6A. Astrologo
- 19M. Rossini
- 24Fabio Desole
- 4D. Zagnoni
- 25G. Vaglica
- 1Alessandro Scacchetti
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renate have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Athletic Carpi have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Novara(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Renate score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Carpi score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renate | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Athletic Carpi | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Renate sit 20th in Serie C - Girone A (4 points from 9 matches) and Athletic Carpi sit 17th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Athletic Carpi | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 20 | Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Renate vs Athletic Carpi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Renate vs Athletic Carpi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Renate the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Athletic Carpi.
- Where and when is Renate vs Athletic Carpi played?
- Renate vs Athletic Carpi is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mino Favini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.