Athletic Carpi vs Folgore Caratese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 32Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
The Footlab AI model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Athletic Carpi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Folgore Caratese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Folgore Caratese?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Athletic Carpi (1,684) and Folgore Caratese (1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Athletic Carpi vs Folgore Caratese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Athletic Carpi
4-3-3- 90V. Vitale
- 18T. Carcani
- 83A. Sall
- 11F. Puletto
- 10F. Casarini
- 5M. Figoli
- 19M. Rossini
- 24Fabio Desole
- 4D. Zagnoni
- 7T. Cecotti
- 1Alessandro Scacchetti
Folgore Caratese
4-3-3- 9S. Spalluto
- 61A. Santarcangelo
- 10A. Vacca
- 8F. Castellano
- 99F. D'Amico
- 92A. Tessiore
- 21E. Gega
- 11M. Balzano
- 43Alessandro Bassino
- 24E. Bellia
- 1D. Salvalaggio
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Carpi have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Folgore Caratese have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Novara(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trento(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Carpi score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Folgore Caratese score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Carpi | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Folgore Caratese | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Carpi sit 17th in Serie C - Girone A (6 points from 9 matches) and Folgore Caratese sit 18th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Athletic Carpi | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 18 | Folgore Caratese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Athletic Carpi vs Folgore Caratese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Carpi vs Folgore Caratese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Athletic Carpi.
- Where and when is Athletic Carpi vs Folgore Caratese played?
- Athletic Carpi vs Folgore Caratese is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.