Union Carl Berner vs KFUM II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 17Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Union Carl Berner the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for KFUM II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Carl Berner vs KFUM II?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Union Carl Berner (1,583) and KFUM II (1,581).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Carl Berner have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; KFUM II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ullern(away) | 1-4 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Konnerud(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Asker(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Vålerenga II(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Nordstrand(home) | 7-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | SF Grei(home) | 5-0 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Lokomotiv Oslo(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Heming(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Union Carl Berner win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 KFUM II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | KFUM II 0-1 Union Carl Berner | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
Last archived meeting: KFUM II vs Union Carl Berner on Apr 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Carl Berner score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; KFUM II score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Carl Berner | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| KFUM II | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Carl Berner sit 8th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (21 points from 16 matches) and KFUM II sit 9th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Carl Berner | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 26 | 21 |
| 9 | KFUM II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 43 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Carl Berner vs KFUM II?
- The Footlab model makes Union Carl Berner the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for KFUM II.
- Where and when is Union Carl Berner vs KFUM II played?
- Union Carl Berner vs KFUM II is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.