Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ullern: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 17Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tørteberg kunstgress, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Oslo the favourite at 46%, against 20% for a draw and 35% for Ullern. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ullern?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Oslo (1,541) and Ullern (1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Oslo have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Ullern have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grorud(home) | 1-5 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frigg(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SF Grei(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vålerenga II(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | KFUM II(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Carl Berner(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(home) | 2-5 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Frigg(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Heming(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Asker(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lokomotiv Oslo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ullern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ullern 2-5 Lokomotiv Oslo | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Lokomotiv Oslo 1-2 Ullern | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
Last archived meeting: Ullern vs Lokomotiv Oslo on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Oslo score 1.7 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ullern score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Oslo | 1.7 | 3.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Ullern | 1.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Oslo sit 12th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (14 points from 16 matches) and Ullern sit 11th (14 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ullern | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 41 | 14 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 50 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ullern?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Oslo the favourite at 46%, against 20% for a draw and 35% for Ullern.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ullern played?
- Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ullern is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tørteberg kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.