Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba: result 3-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónApertura - 10Kick-off on July 21, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre García, Tarapoto
Full time
What was the result of Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
Union Comercio won 3-1 on July 21, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 18′S. AlmirónUnion Comercio (pen.)
- 28′E. IbargüenUnion Comercio
- 32′O. NogueraUnion Comercio
- 56′Claudio Matías VelázquezDeportivo Llacuabamba (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Comercio have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Llacuabamba have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2021 | Deportivo Coopsol(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Jul 12, 2021 | Santos(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Jul 8, 2021 | Sport Chavelines Juniors(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Jul 4, 2021 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 0-2 | Copa Bicentenario |
| Jun 27, 2021 | Union Huaral(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2021 | Santos(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Jul 12, 2021 | Atletico Grau(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Jul 8, 2021 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 1, 2021 | Molinos El Pirata(home) | 4-3 | Segunda División |
| Jun 27, 2021 | Juan Aurich(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Union Comercio score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Llacuabamba score 2.1 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Comercio | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Deportivo Llacuabamba | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Comercio sit 1st in Segunda División (24 points from 11 matches) and Deportivo Llacuabamba sit 2nd (23 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
| 2 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 6 | 23 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy