Union Magdalena vs Envigado: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - Quadrangular - 2Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 11:10 PM (UTC)Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta
The Footlab AI model makes Envigado the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Union Magdalena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Envigado wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,863 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Envigado?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Union Magdalena (1,604) and Envigado (1,609).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union Magdalena vs Envigado
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union Magdalena
4-3-3- 7R. Blanco
- 3D. Mera
- 17G. Arrieta
- 16O. Surmay
- 19F. Mosquera
- 14J. Farías
- 6D. Ortíz
- 18F. Molina
- 25W. Sagrera
- 2M. Ballesteros
- 34M. Tasso
Envigado
4-3-3- 77D. Valencia
- 18G. Mujica
- 7D. Dawson
- 6J. Palacios
- 99Miguel Marulanda
- 19S. Acuña
- 28J. Gamboa
- 15G. Cuervo
- 2D. Palacios
- 5S. Noreña
- 88A. Tovar
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Magdalena have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Envigado have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Depor FC(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leones FC(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Patriotas(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Real Santander(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Bogota FC(away) | 3-3 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Union Magdalena wins, 2 draws, 1 Envigado win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | Envigado 0-1 Union Magdalena | Primera B |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Union Magdalena 4-2 Envigado | Primera B |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Union Magdalena 3-1 Envigado | Primera A |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Envigado 2-1 Union Magdalena | Primera A |
| Jul 31, 2023 | Envigado 0-0 Union Magdalena | Primera A |
| Feb 6, 2023 | Union Magdalena 1-1 Envigado | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Envigado vs Union Magdalena on Sep 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Magdalena score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Envigado score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Magdalena | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Envigado | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Magdalena sit 4th in Primera B (61 points from 36 matches) and Envigado sit 1st (64 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 51 | 33 | 64 |
| 4 | Union Magdalena | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 61 |
A question about Union Magdalena vs Envigado?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Magdalena vs Envigado?
- The Footlab AI model makes Envigado the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Union Magdalena.
- Where and when is Union Magdalena vs Envigado played?
- Union Magdalena vs Envigado is played on November 2, 2026 at 11:10 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sierra Nevada, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.