Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 8Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio 15 de Abril, Ciudad de Santa Fe, Provincia de Santa Fe
The Footlab model makes Instituto Cordoba the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Union Santa Fe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Union Santa Fe (1,834) and Instituto Cordoba (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Santa Fe have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Instituto Cordoba have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aldosivi(away) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Lorenzo(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lanus(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lanus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Platense(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Union Santa Fe win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Instituto Cordoba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba 1-2 Union Santa Fe | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Instituto Cordoba 0-4 Union Santa Fe | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Union Santa Fe 0-0 Instituto Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| May 18, 2024 | Instituto Cordoba 1-1 Union Santa Fe | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 6, 2023 | Union Santa Fe 0-2 Instituto Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 18, 2014 | Union Santa Fe 2-0 Instituto Cordoba | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Santa Fe score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Instituto Cordoba score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Santa Fe | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Instituto Cordoba | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Santa Fe sit 8th in Liga Profesional Argentina (21 points from 16 matches) and Instituto Cordoba sit 9th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 21 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba?
- The Footlab model makes Instituto Cordoba the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Union Santa Fe.
- Where and when is Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba played?
- Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio 15 de Abril, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 6, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsTigre
- Sep 6, 2026River PlatevsIndepend. Rivadavia
- Sep 6, 2026Racing ClubvsAtletico Tucuman
- Sep 6, 2026Rosario CentralvsNewells Old Boys
- Sep 6, 2026Velez SarsfieldvsEstudiantes L.P.
- Sep 6, 2026Belgrano CordobavsHuracan
- Sep 6, 2026LanusvsDefensa Y Justicia
- Sep 6, 2026San LorenzovsTalleres Cordoba