Lanzarote vs Unión Sur Yaiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, Tías
The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Unión Sur Yaiza. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,024 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lanzarote vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
On Elo ratings, Lanzarote has 1,773 points and Unión Sur Yaiza 1,739.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lanzarote vs Unión Sur Yaiza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lanzarote
Not enough data to predict the Lanzarote lineup.
Unión Sur Yaiza
Not enough data to predict the Unión Sur Yaiza lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanzarote have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Unión Sur Yaiza have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marino(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lanzarote wins, 5 draws, 1 Unión Sur Yaiza win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lanzarote 0-0 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Unión Sur Yaiza 3-3 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 12, 2024 | Lanzarote 0-0 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Unión Sur Yaiza 0-0 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Lanzarote 0-1 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Unión Sur Yaiza 2-2 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Lanzarote vs Unión Sur Yaiza on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lanzarote score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Sur Yaiza score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanzarote | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lanzarote sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (7 points from 7 matches) and Unión Sur Yaiza sit 11th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 12 | Lanzarote | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Lanzarote vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lanzarote vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Unión Sur Yaiza.
- Where and when is Lanzarote vs Unión Sur Yaiza played?
- Lanzarote vs Unión Sur Yaiza is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026MensajerovsLaguna de Duero
- Nov 22, 2026Villa Santa BrígidavsPlayas Sotavento
- Nov 22, 2026EstrellavsPanadería Pulido
- Nov 22, 2026San BartolomévsLas Palmas III
- Nov 22, 2026Tenerife CvsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Nov 22, 2026San MiguelvsLos Llanos
- Nov 22, 2026AnazavsMarino
- Nov 22, 2026Villaverde NortevsSan Fernando CD