Guiseley AFC vs Whitby Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Whitby Town?
Guiseley AFC starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Whitby Town have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bury(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Guiseley AFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Whitby Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitby Town 0-2 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Guiseley AFC 1-0 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Whitby Town 1-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Guiseley AFC 3-1 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Whitby Town 1-2 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 19, 2024 | Whitby Town 1-2 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Whitby Town vs Guiseley AFC on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guiseley AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Whitby Town score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiseley AFC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Whitby Town | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guiseley AFC sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 5 matches) and Whitby Town sit 14th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Guiseley AFC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 14 | Whitby Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guiseley AFC vs Whitby Town?
- The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is Guiseley AFC vs Whitby Town played?
- Guiseley AFC vs Whitby Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nethermoor Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsAlfreton Town
- Nov 28, 2026Hyde UnitedvsWarrington Town
- Nov 28, 2026Curzon AshtonvsBury
- Nov 28, 2026Ilkeston TownvsAFC Emley
- Nov 28, 2026Leek TownvsUnited of Manchester
- Nov 28, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsQuorn
- Nov 28, 2026Ashton UnitedvsStockton Town
- Nov 28, 2026AvrovsBamber Bridge