United States U17 vs Chile U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 2Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, San José
The Footlab model makes United States U17 the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Chile U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win United States U17 vs Chile U17?
United States U17 starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,621 vs 1,497).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, United States U17 have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Chile U17 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Brazil U17(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Brazil U17(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Morocco U17(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Czechia U17(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Tajikistan U17(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Uruguay U17(away) | 3-2 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Bolivia U17(away) | 4-0 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ecuador U17(home) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Paraguay U17(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Colombia U17(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
How many goals should we expect?
United States U17 score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chile U17 score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States U17 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Chile U17 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for United States U17 vs Chile U17?
- The Footlab model makes United States U17 the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Chile U17.
- Where and when is United States U17 vs Chile U17 played?
- United States U17 vs Chile U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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