Match

United States U17 vs Chile U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 2Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, San José

United States U17Chile U17

The Footlab model makes United States U17 the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Chile U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win United States U17 vs Chile U17?

United States U17 starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,621 vs 1,497).

United States U17 win56 %
Draw20 %
Chile U17 win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, United States U17 have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Chile U17 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

United States U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 10, 2026Brazil U17(away)0-1Friendlies
Jun 7, 2026Brazil U17(away)0-4Friendlies
Nov 14, 2025Morocco U17(home)1-1World Cup - U17
Nov 11, 2025Czechia U17(away)1-0World Cup - U17
Nov 8, 2025Tajikistan U17(home)2-1World Cup - U17
Chile U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Uruguay U17(away)3-2CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 16, 2026Bolivia U17(away)4-0CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 12, 2026Ecuador U17(home)1-3CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 9, 2026Paraguay U17(home)1-0CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 7, 2026Colombia U17(away)0-1CONMEBOL - U17

How many goals should we expect?

United States U17 score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chile U17 score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
United States U172.91.356/159/15
Chile U171.31.529/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for United States U17 vs Chile U17?
The Footlab model makes United States U17 the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Chile U17.
Where and when is United States U17 vs Chile U17 played?
United States U17 vs Chile U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: United States U17 and Chile U17

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