Match

Japan U17 vs Serbia U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 2Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ASPIRE Academy Pitch 7, Doha

Japan U17Serbia U17

The Footlab model makes Japan U17 the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Serbia U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Japan U17 vs Serbia U17?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Japan U17 (1,686) and Serbia U17 (1,692).

Japan U17 win42 %
Draw22 %
Serbia U17 win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Japan U17 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Serbia U17 have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Japan U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026China PR U17(away)3-2AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 19, 2026Uzbekistan U17(home)1-1AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 15, 2026Tajikistan U17(home)5-0AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 12, 2026Indonesia U17(home)3-1AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 9, 2026China PR U17(away)2-1AFC U17 Asian Cup
Serbia U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 5, 2026Romania U17(home)2-1Friendlies
Jun 2, 2026Romania U17(home)1-0Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026Switzerland U17(away)2-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Belgium U17(away)3-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Cyprus U17(home)3-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Japan U17 score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Serbia U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Japan U172.11.1310/1511/15
Serbia U171.91.369/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Japan U17 vs Serbia U17?
The Footlab model makes Japan U17 the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Serbia U17.
Where and when is Japan U17 vs Serbia U17 played?
Japan U17 vs Serbia U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ASPIRE Academy Pitch 7, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Japan U17 and Serbia U17

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