Japan U17 vs Serbia U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 2Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ASPIRE Academy Pitch 7, Doha
The Footlab model makes Japan U17 the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Serbia U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Japan U17 vs Serbia U17?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Japan U17 (1,686) and Serbia U17 (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Japan U17 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Serbia U17 have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | China PR U17(away) | 3-2 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 19, 2026 | Uzbekistan U17(home) | 1-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 15, 2026 | Tajikistan U17(home) | 5-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 12, 2026 | Indonesia U17(home) | 3-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 9, 2026 | China PR U17(away) | 2-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Romania U17(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Romania U17(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Switzerland U17(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Belgium U17(away) | 3-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Cyprus U17(home) | 3-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Japan U17 score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Serbia U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan U17 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Serbia U17 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Japan U17 vs Serbia U17?
- The Footlab model makes Japan U17 the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Serbia U17.
- Where and when is Japan U17 vs Serbia U17 played?
- Japan U17 vs Serbia U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ASPIRE Academy Pitch 7, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Nov 22, 2026Korea Republic U17vsNew Caledonia U17
- Nov 22, 2026Mexico W U17vsCameroon U17
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