Ecuador U17 vs Mozambique U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 2Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
The Footlab AI model makes Ecuador U17 the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Mozambique U17. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ecuador U17 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ecuador U17 vs Mozambique U17?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Ecuador U17 (1,558) and Mozambique U17 (1,501).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ecuador U17 vs Mozambique U17
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ecuador U17
4-3-3- 9J. Guerrero
- 14J. Mina
- 23J. Martinez
- 8B. Zamora
- 10J. Calle
- 11H. Quintero
- 2Deinner Ordóñez
- 6J. Chica
- 5A. Cuadrado
- 3J. Medina
- 12M. Vaca
Mozambique U17
4-3-3- 11A. Nhampule
- 9M. Junior
- 21J. Namali
- 8V. Pacane
- 15D. Pelembe
- 18J. Mubai
- 19F. Matias
- 17P. Demi
- 2P. Vieira
- 20A. de Figueiredo
- 1J. Jofrisse
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ecuador U17 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Mozambique U17 have 1, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Brazil U17(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Argentina U17(home) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Chile U17(away) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Uruguay U17(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Colombia U17(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Ethiopia U17(away) | 1-1 | CAF Cup of Nations - U17 |
| May 20, 2026 | Angola U17(away) | 2-1 | CAF Cup of Nations - U17 |
| May 17, 2026 | Mali U17(home) | 1-1 | CAF Cup of Nations - U17 |
| May 14, 2026 | Tanzania U17(away) | 0-3 | CAF Cup of Nations - U17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ecuador U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mozambique U17 score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador U17 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Mozambique U17 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 3/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ecuador U17 vs Mozambique U17?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ecuador U17 vs Mozambique U17?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ecuador U17 the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Mozambique U17.
- Where and when is Ecuador U17 vs Mozambique U17 played?
- Ecuador U17 vs Mozambique U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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