Match

Ecuador U17 vs Mozambique U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 2Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito

Ecuador U17Mozambique U17

The Footlab model makes Ecuador U17 the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Mozambique U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ecuador U17 vs Mozambique U17?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Ecuador U17 (1,558) and Mozambique U17 (1,501).

Ecuador U17 win44 %
Draw22 %
Mozambique U17 win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ecuador U17 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Mozambique U17 have 1, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ecuador U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Brazil U17(home)0-1CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 16, 2026Argentina U17(home)1-3CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 12, 2026Chile U17(away)3-1CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 7, 2026Uruguay U17(home)2-1CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 5, 2026Colombia U17(home)0-0CONMEBOL - U17
Mozambique U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Ethiopia U17(away)1-1CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 20, 2026Angola U17(away)2-1CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 17, 2026Mali U17(home)1-1CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 14, 2026Tanzania U17(away)0-3CAF Cup of Nations - U17

How many goals should we expect?

Ecuador U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mozambique U17 score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ecuador U171.21.147/158/15
Mozambique U171.01.503/42/4

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ecuador U17 vs Mozambique U17?
The Footlab model makes Ecuador U17 the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Mozambique U17.
Where and when is Ecuador U17 vs Mozambique U17 played?
Ecuador U17 vs Mozambique U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ecuador U17 and Mozambique U17

Ready to know everything about football?